January 29-31, 2023

Trump indicted at last – The approaching end of the COVID emergency declaration – Hiking downtown and in Shenandoah National Park – Evening statistics

Resolutions of various classes are looming in the wings. 

Donald Trump has at long last been formally accused in a court of law.  The lawsuit in question has been organized by New York Attorney General Letitia James and it is seeking $250 million in penalties, an amount which, if not sufficient to break Trump entirely if it were collected in full, would at any rate make a significant dent in his assets.  It is true that the case against is one of peculation rather than sedition, the charges being that Trump and his family  used fraudulent financial statements to obtain favorable rates of insurance and loans and tax benefits.  I would have greatly preferred to see him indicted for organizing the treasonous assault on the Capitol two years ago.  But since there appears to be little chance of such a case ever materializing, I am resigned to putting up with this one, as being at any rate better than nothing.  At the very least it will divert some of his energies from the Presidential campaign that he is currently attempting to initiate.

Better still, the COVID emergency declarations are now officially scheduled to end on May 11th.   I have already discussed, on numerous occasions, the difficulty of determining when an epidemic is no longer categorized as an epidemic and instead becomes labeled as “endemic.”  This termination of the official emergency declaration that heralded the pandemic’s beginning seems as good a criterion as any.  In many ways, of course, Americans are already treating COVID as something that is to be endured, without any of the emotional intensity that they displayed in earlier months.  COVID-related restrictions in public areas are all but gone; travel has long gone unhindered; vaccination mandates are no longer in force; people are becoming increasingly careless about wearing facemasks in public.  Not all of these types of behavior may be desirable, but there can be no question that COVID is no longer regarded as the dire threat it had once been. 

And there is some justification for such confidence.  Even now, in mid-winter, the rates of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are far lower than they were last winter, and there is every reason to believe that they will decline still further as the weather moderates into spring.  Among the vaccinated, hospitalizations and deaths have declined dramatically.  Still, COVID mortality rates as a whole are slightly over twice the rate of influenza mortality rates during those periods when influenza is at its most severe in terms of death toll.  That is much better than being twenty or thirty times such rates, as they were in the past, but it is still high.  In very approximate terms, COVID is currently responsible for an average of 500 American deaths per day. 

What will the end of such a declaration mean?  Many free health benefits will undoubtedly come to an end. COVID tests, for example, will have to be purchased.  So will vaccines.  Those who are uninsured or under-insured will be worse off.  On the other hand, certain measures that have placed people in difficulties (landlords attempting to collect from renters who plead epidemic-induced poverty and refuse to pay, lenders attempting to collect student loans from graduates who refuse to pay for the same reason, and so on) will obtain some much-needed relief.  I know that the word “landlord” conjures up the image of a Scrooge-like miser profiting hugely off of the rents of hapless tenants; but in fact many landlords are persons letting out small properties for the purpose of augmenting family income (and in some cases supplying it in its entirety) and they have suffered gravely during the pandemic.  In short, the measure will benefit some and penalize others, just as any other large-scale government measure would do.

And amid all of this people carry on their pursuit of happiness with increasing regularity – as, indeed, I have done myself.  I hiked with the Wanderbirds on a splendid tour of the various monuments in downtown Washington on Sunday (including a visit to the Jefferson Memorial, hence the phrase used in the paragraph’s first sentence), while today I went with the Vigorous Hikers up Little Devils Stairs and from there to do a loop to Overall Run and back.  This last item was about 17 miles long and entailed about 4400 feet of elevation gain, much of it along trails in Shenandoah National Park that have suffered greatly from the ice storms in December, making for rather rough going at times, and all of it in damp, misty weather that made the rocks very slippery, particularly at stream crossings.  But what of that?  Comfort must not be expected when folks go a-pleasuring.

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 675,168,909; # of deaths worldwide:  6,762,224; # of cases U.S.: 104,196,097; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,132,935.

January 20-21, 2023

In Patapsco again – Encouraging statistics from Minnesota County – Evening statistics

I led the CHC group on a hike in Patapsco State Park today.  I have related, in an earlier entry, how portions of the park had been unexpectedly closed off and how, in desperation, I managed to put together an alternate route of adequate length just hours before leading the Wanderbirds on it a couple of months earlier.  The route that I devised as a last-minute improvisation in November had become a familiar circuit by this time; it is quite surprising how quickly one acclimatizes to new situations and developments, in hiking as in other matters.  The attendees were pleased with the route, which offers a contrast to the usual mountain hikes that we undertake.  Even in the piedmont, however, the undulating hills provide a fair amount of elevation gain, which in this case amounted to over 1500 feet.  It was not especially chilly, being in the low forties; although I could have wished for less cloud cover.  Outside of a few moments towards the beginning of the hike, when the sun shone momentarily, the sky remained whitish and the daylight muted. 

I came across a rather curious statistic concerning Scott County, Minnesota.  About 6.3% of the residents are black, and their average life expectancy is 89.7 years – well above the national average, let alone the average for African-Americans.  No one is certain exactly why this is the case.  But a few factors are almost certainly contributors to this fortunate result.  Most of the so-called blacks in this community are truly African-American, i.e., they have recently emigrated from various African nations to the U.S.  Like most recent immigrants, they are go-getters and, in addition, they tend to lead a healthier lifestyle, eating more whole foods and more home-cooked meals. Many have more active habits and rely on longstanding social support.  Then, too, the area has many resources:  it is home to regional entertainment destinations such as Valley Fair, Canterbury Park, Mystic Lake casino, and the seasonal Renaissance Festival; Shutterfly and Amazon have offices in the county, offering stable employment to many of the residents; and it is close proximity to many wealthy Twin-Cities suburbs.  Residents are more likely to have two-parent families and to own their homes rather than rent them. The blacks are not the only minority to benefit from this combination of favorable circumstances:  the Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community, which also resides there, is one of the wealthiest Native-American communities in the nation.

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 673,002,559; # of deaths worldwide:  6,743,107; # of cases U.S.: 103,829,943; # of deaths; U.S.:    1,128,521

January 18-19, 2023

Assessing the Cub Run Trail – An irresistible appeal – An unusual vehicle chase – An indirect victim of COVID – Evening statistics

Yesterday I went along with WN along the Cub Run trail west of Compton Road to ascertain its condition and whether it can be restored.  We equipped ourselves with hedge clippers, and they were greatly needed, for the trail is wretchedly overgrown and all but impassable in its current state.  We managed to cut our way through, but the work that we accomplished can only be temporary.  It will take a fully equipped work team to clear the trail of blowdowns and brambles and make it usable again.  Still, it is far from impossible to reclaim it, and its reclamation is very desirable.  The alternative is to use the park road that accesses the pavilion in Bull Run Regional Park, which is uninteresting in itself and which is not available to pedestrians at all during the park’s annual two-month-long Festival of Lights.  There actually is a signpost at the end of the trail where we emerged (at the underpass close to the road that leads to the Bull Run shooting center), as well as a faded blaze on one of the nearby trees, and I can well imagine the dismay of anyone who follows the direction indicated by these, only to encounter an unrelenting series of briars and fallen tree limbs.

Recently I read a plea for contributions from The Guardian which, I must confess, is not without merit.  Arwa Mahdawi, a columnist for the paper, reported that Elon Musk referred to The Guardian as “the most insufferable newspaper on planet Earth.” To which she blithely added, “I’m not sure there is any greater compliment.”  The appeal was rounded off as follows:  “If you are able, please do consider supporting us. Only with your help can we continue to get on Elon Musk’s nerves.”  Who can resist such a worthy cause?  I uploaded a contribution immediately after reading this.

The Guardian proved its worth by featuring a story I ran across immediately afterwards.  In Boone, North Carolina, Ronnie Hicks stole a vehicle and, after onlookers reported his erratic driving to the police, they energetically went in pursuit.  They were able to catch up with relatively little effort, for the stolen vehicle was a John Deere tractor, whose maximum speed is 20 miles per hour.  Stopping it, however, was another matter.  The 43-year-old hot-rodder ignored the policemen’s cries to halt and, although the police tried to immobilize him with tire deflation devices, these “were not terribly effective on a tractor,” as Andy LeBeau, Boone’s police chief, later admitted.  Even though both front tires deflated and one completely separated from its rim, the tractor was still operative.  So the slow-motion chase continued, going along several highways and interstates, with other vehicles from the county police and the North Carolina State Highway patrolmen joining in.  Eventually Hicks turned down a private road, jumped off, ran away, was cornered, drew a knife out, was tased by officers, and was then arrested.   He was charged with felony counts of fleeing to elude arrest and assault with a deadly weapon on a government official, along with misdemeanor counts of driving while impaired, resisting a public officer, and reckless driving.  Also, just to cover all bases, he was cited for driving left of the center lane (and no, I’m not making that last item up). 

From this farcical account I pass to one much grimmer.  A trial in Wales is making the headlines concerning the appalling conditions under which a young girl, Kaylea Titford, died at the age of 16 in October, 2020.  Kaylea suffered from spina bifida, making it impossible for her to get around except in a wheelchair, and hydrocephalus (“water on the brain,” a condition that has a mortality rate of over 50% if it is untreated).  The account of her final months reads like a primer of parental neglect.  She had outgrown the wheelchair she used in earlier years, which would have been unusable in any case, since it had flat tires and needed a new front wheel.  She thus was rendered immobile, even to the point of being confined to her bed and being unable to be wheeled to the shower.  Her parents rarely cooked at their home, relying on takeout from restaurants instead; and it is not surprising that, under a regimen of rich foods and with no opportunity for getting exercise (or even for getting out of doors at all), it is unsurprising that her weight ballooned to over 300 pounds, with a body mass index of 70.  When she went into a coma and the police were called in, she was found lying upon filthy, soiled bedlinen and pads that had absorbed several days’ leakages from her body, with matted, tangled hair, toenails that had not be cut for at least six months, and skin so severely inflamed and ulcerated that in some places it had split, displaying the fatty layer underneath.  Her parents appear to have been as incompetent as they were negligent.  Alun Titford, her father, by his own admission has not prepared a meal for himself or anyone else for the past twenty years and never cleaned the house on his own, leaving such tasks to his partner.  Sarah Lee Jones, the mother, did make some half-hearted attempts from time to time to mitigate the perpetual squalor, but Titford’s sloth appears to have been infectious and eventually she too succumbed to a lifestyle of sheer inertia. 

Sadly, it appears that COVID was an indirect cause of this unfortunate young woman’s death.  Before the pandemic she was sufficiently proficient on the wheelchair as to be able to attend school and even to participate in basketball games and to run track by pushing her wheelchair.  But in March, 2020 the lockdown occurred and she was then confined to her home, where, virtually abandoned by her parents, she died just seven months later. 

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 672,495,595; # of deaths worldwide:  6,739,058; # of cases U.S.: 103,803,483; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,128,217.

January 17, 2023

Hiking in Washington on MLK Day – Hiking in Manassas Battlefield Park – Indications that Putin is in difficulties – Decreasing rate of COVID mortality – Evening statistics

Yesterday RS and I celebrated Martin Luther King Day in our usual fashion:  visiting the monument, listening to a portion of the remarks delivered there to commemorate the man for whom this holiday was created, and then walking with others about the city for 20 miles or so (it actually came out to 24 miles on this particular occasion) in his honor.  It was a splendid day and a splendid route, which, in addition to visiting many familiar sites, took us to some that we had not seen before:  the east bank of the Anacostia River, Union Market, various paths in the Dumbarton Oaks Park.  There is so much to see in this city that it seems that a lifetime devoted to exploring it could not exhaust all that it has to offer.

Today I went with the Vigorous Hikers on another hike with historical aspects, one in Manassas Battlefield.  Normally when I go there I use the First and Second Manassas Battle loops, but this one took us to other regions of the park that are less well-known:  Brawner Farm, Stuart’s Hill, Sudley Church.  This visit to the park was particularly interesting because DG, our hike leader, is a descendent of one of the thousands of soldiers who participated in the Battle of Second Manassas (and who participated in many other Civil War battles as well).  He has traced his ancestor’s movements, some of which we went over today.  Presumably DG’s ancestor did not have to contend with the extremely muddy conditions we encountered today as a result of a light but steady rain during the morning; on the other hand, both battles took place in mid-summer, during which the paths may have been drier but must have been excruciating on account of the intense heat, the debilitating effects of which were almost certainly aggravated by the amount of baggage each soldier was expected to carry on his back.

Numerous military experts claim to see “desperation” in Putin’s naming of a new military leader after a succession of embarrassing defeats in its war with Ukraine.  From a former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor:  “My sense is that Putin is flailing because he’s not getting what he wants.”  From John Herbst, another former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine now with the Atlantic Council:  “The incompetence of the Russian military has now been thoroughly demonstrated.”  From Brigadier General Pat Ryder, the Pentagon’s top spokesman:  Gerasimov’s promotion reflects “some of the systemic challenges that the Russian military has faced since the beginning of this invasion.”  From Richard Dannatt, the United Kingdom’s former chief of the general staff:  the decision to replace Surovikin with Gerasimov, just three months after the former took charge, can be seen as a “sign of desperation.”  And so on.

I would dismiss such claims as wishful thinking, especially in view of the fact that the Russian assault shows no signs of lessening, if it were not for an incident that suggests that the Russian military is indeed undergoing difficulties.  Andrei Medvedev, who commanded a squad of the infamous Wagner paramilitary forces in eastern Ukraine, today escaped to Norway to claim asylum, climbing through barbed-wire fences, evading border patrol dogs, running away from guards’ bullets, and running through a forest and over an icy lake in order to cross the border.  Once he arrived, he immediately asked to be taken to the police.  The Wagner group consists largely of ex-convicts, whom Medvedev claims – only too believably – were used as cannon fodder.  The fact that he prefers to be imprisoned in Norway for an indefinite period to enjoying the privileges given to a commander in the Russian army suggests that there may be some truth in the aforementioned experts’ assertions.

More than 267,000 people died of COVID in 2022, according to preliminary data from Johns Hopkins University, compared with more than 350,000 COVID deaths in 2020 and more than 475,000 COVID deaths in 2021.  This reduction, however, has not affected its status as the third leading cause of death for the year, as it was for 2020 and in 2021.  About 7,000 COVID deaths have already been reported in 2023.  If this amount of COVID deaths remains consistent throughout the year, the number of deaths would still be smaller than that of previous years.  But it seems probable that the increase of COVID deaths per month will diminish as the weather gets warmer again.  We may even emerge this year with fewer than 100,000 deaths from the disease.  How horrifying this figure would have seemed to most people during the early months of the pandemic and, if it indeed becomes the statistic for the full year of 2023, what welcome news it would be now!

Today’s statistics as of 9:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 671,872,961; # of deaths worldwide:  6,733,384; # of cases U.S.: 103,614,411; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,125,895.

January 14, 2023

Brazil’s imitation of the 2021 riot – Trump threatens his judge – Betrayal by Biden – Evening statistics

It’s been cold today, grayish, with the wind perpetually blowing, and I’ve been idle as well, so I naturally am in a disgruntled mood.  Besides, the news has not been good.

I have neglected to mention that during this past Sunday Brasilia was witness to a scene that mirrored that of Washington two years ago.  Supporters of right former President Jair Bolsonaro marched through the streets as an ad hoc army, invading and defacing Brazil’s Congress, presidential palace, and Supreme Court.  Even though it was the worst demonstration of politically motivatied violence in Brazil since the 1980s, there were several differences in the two episodes, all of them in favor of Brazil.  Bolsonaro was not actually present to orchestrate the event personally, being ill in Florida.  There was a great deal of destruction – furniture was thrown through the smashed windows of the presidential palace, parts of Congress were flooded with a sprinkler system, ceremonial rooms in the Supreme Court were ransacked – but no one was actually killed.  But essentially the scenario is the same:  like Trump, Bolsonaro was defeated in a national election, refused to accept the result, and organized an attempt to overturn it, using social media to incite the rioters.  But Brazilians are relatively fortunate.  On Monday, the day after the riots ensued, Bolsonaro was seized with stomach pains and admitted to a hospital, while it seems likely that the U.S. government will expel him to his homeland.  Lula’s government has been a great deal more pro-active than our own in the aftermath of the onslaught, having already thrown 1500 of the rioters in prison.

Speaking of Trump, incidentally, he never can remain removed from the headlines for long.   Yesterday the results of a deposition he gave in response to the charge leveled by E. Jean Carroll’s charges of sexual assault was made public; and his defense strategy is, to say the least, unique.  First he assailed the plaintiff with calumny and abuse, calling her a “nut job” and the perpetrator of “a complete scam” in which she described the rape as she “was promoting a really crummy book” – behavior which is more or less to be expected from him.  But then he went not only to threaten her but Lewis Kaplan, the presiding judge, as well.  “I will sue her after this is over, and that’s the thing I really look forward to doing. And I’ll sue you too,” he told Kaplan.  Not surprisingly, Kaplan upheld the lawsuits alleging rape and defamation and seeking unspecified damages by Carroll, saying they could proceed to trial because Trump’s challenges were “without merit.”

The episode has its comic aspect, but there is nothing amusing about the revelation that Biden appears to be as culpable as Trump in his handling of classified documents from the Obama era, when he was Vice President.  He has removed several from the sensitive compartmented information facilities (SCIFs), where they belong, and has stored them at the garage in his private residence In Wilmington, just as Trump removed several to his private residence in Mar-a-Lago.    

I have striven, as I believe, to be even-handed in these records; and while I continue to abominate Trump as a seditious traitor, I have not glossed over the numerous failings of the current administration:  the mishandling of the withdrawal from Afghanistan, the complete irresponsibility in dealing with the border crisis, the perverse championship of so-called transgender rights that more often than not are an excuse for men trampling down women.  But up to now I had some confidence in his basic integrity.  This episode has been a rude awakening.  Whether the reason for illegally storing such documents in an unprotected private dwelling for years on end is the result of future plans during an earlier decade for jockeying for power or simply of carelessness due to premature senility I neither know nor care.  The fact remains that he is as great as an offender against the country’s security as his predecessor.  For the present the White House refuses to release records of who visited the house while the documents have been lodged there.  I can only echo the passionate cry of Mrs. Boyle from Sean O’Casey’s Juno and the Paycock, upon discovering that the man who was engaged to her daughter first impregnated her and afterwards deserted her:  “oh, is there not even a middlin’ honest man left in th’ world?”

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 671,177,343; # of deaths worldwide:  6,729,721; # of cases U.S.: 103,573,042; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,125,539.

January 13, 2023

Some material advantages of keeping a journal – Handling money matters for seniors – Falling numbers for respiratory diseases – Evening statistics

This journal helped me to save money yesterday.  I received a bill in the mail for $380 from the PM Pediatrics for Virginia facility.  This puzzled me, since I do not have children and could not recollect having made any doctor’s visit at the date of the alleged appointment.  To be certain on this last point, however, I inspected the journal entry for the day and discovered that on September 10, when I was supposed to have made a visit there, I actually had been on a flight to Denver to begin the vacation in Rocky Mountain National Park.  So I called them up to ask why I had received such a bill, and they told me that it was for a COVID test I had taken at their facility. 

Now it is true that the facility does offer COVID tests for adults and children alike, and indeed I did take a couple of tests from them about two years ago, at a time when testkits for home use were not readily available.  I pointed out, however, that a COVID test should not cost $380, and in any case it was physically impossible for me to have taken one on the date they claimed to have seen me, since I was thousands of miles away.  They quickly agreed to withdraw the bill altogether.

I doubt if it was a deliberate attempt at fraud; in all likelihood someone made a mistake in accounting.  But such an incident demonstrates how vulnerable seniors are in matters such as these.  There are all sorts of scams directed at them, both via telephone solicitors and Emails, as well as outright errors such as the one I met with today; and it requires constant vigilance to combat them.  Seniors, especially those who are unfamiliar with the Internet, are by far the most likely to be taken in.  In my father’s last years I had to handle virtually all of his accounting for him, just as I’m doing now for my mother. 

The so-called “tripledemic” has not materialized.  Cases for both influenza and RSV have gone steadily downward over the past six weeks.  COVID hospitalizations trended upward during December, but these also appear to going down in recent weeks.  It is difficult to be certain on account of the reporting lag from various hospitals, but the fact that so high a percentage of the populace has already been infected and that nearly 70% of all Americans are fully vaccinated has rendered us much less vulnerable than we were during the winter of last year.  In Virginia, on several days during the past couple of weeks there have been no deaths at all.  On some few days (November 20th, December 4th, December 18th, among others) there have been no COVID deaths across the entire country during a 24-hour period. 

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 670,772,387; # of deaths worldwide:  6,726,970; # of cases U.S.: 103,482,187; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,125,020.  Today’s death toll from COVID world-wide was less than 1,500.  A year ago the death toll for this date was nearly six times that amount, so the intensity of the disease is definitely subsiding.

January 11-12, 2023

Our vulnerable air travel system – Hiking on the Appalachian Trail – At the winery after the hike – McCarthy and Trump – The end of the investigation by the special grand jury in Georgia – The strange precision of George Santos – The pandemic (officially) continues – Evening statistics

I appear to have been unusually opportune in my timing.  Yesterday the computer system that generates NOTAMs (Notice to Air Missions) broke down, causing thousands of flights to be delayed or, in some cases, canceled altogether.  I was very fortunate not to have delayed my return to Washington by a day!

Instead, having settled back at home on Tuesday afternoon, I was able to hike with friends yesterday on the AT from the parking area near Linden to the Manassas Gap shelter and back.  It was a winery hike, which is why the hike was short:  only 6 miles and 1200 feet of elevation gain.  But it was of interest as being the first hike I have done since the two great storms of December, which caused numerous blowdowns along the trails.  LM, who had hiked on the Dickey Ridge Trail about a week earlier, showed photographs that displayed a trail covered with brush and nearly impenetrable.  I was interested to see what the condition of the AT would be at this point.  It proved to be in very good repair, with no particular barriers to contend with.  Of course one cannot build too much on this single experience.  The AT would receive first priority as far as getting the blowdowns cleared and in any case the hike was rather a small statistical sampling. 

Afterwards we had lunch at the Rappahannock Cellars.  We could not eat in the enclosed patio on the top floor, since it admits air from the outside and the temperature in that area was under 40 degrees, but we ate and drank on the second floor, which provides a more intimate atmosphere than the general dining/tasting area on the ground floor.   It is very pleasant, among the more strenuous hikes that I generally undertake, to have the occasional relaxed, leisurely type of hike like this one, allowing much time for leisurely eating and drinking and chatting afterwards.  We sat together at the table and enjoyed one another’s company for two hours, and yet we were able to return to our residences before the rush hour began.

Kevin McCarthy has won the struggle to become Speaker of the House.  This is disturbing, not account of the selection of McCarthy himself – it was clear from the onset that the GOP was not going to provide any other viable candidate in his place – but because the intervention of Donald Trump advocating his election was the turning point in overcoming the deadlock within the party.  In other words, Trump’s stranglehold over the party remains as strong as ever and McCarthy in particular feels indebted towards him, which will naturally inhibit any criticisms he might be capable of.  Indeed he afterwards went out of his way to praise Trump, some two years after the treasonous attempt to invade the Capitol and overturn the results of the 2020 election. 

It is possible that nemesis will come to Trump for his attempted intervention of the electoral tally in Georgia.  But it is not to be counted on. The special grand jury in Fulton County has completed its investigation and has sent its report to Fani Willis.  The final decision as to whether or not to press charges remains with her.  It is not certain that she will; and even if she does decide to do so, she must first present evidence to a separate, regular grand jury that has the power to indict.  Who can wonder that Trump found it so easy during the earlier part of his career, when his lawbreaking was confined to the world of finance, to hoodwink our judicial system?  At this point two investigating committees, one national and one state-appointed, have documented his felonies; and yet we seem to be as far from an indictment as ever.  

The outcry over George Santos’s numerous fabrications, or perhaps I should more properly say myths, about his past has prompted him to tell reporters that he would step down if “142 people ask for me to resign.”  How on earth did he arrive at that particular figure?  If he had said “over a thousand” or even “over ten thousand,” it would be understandable.  But 142?  Surely that seems a very precise number under the circumstances, more appropriate for conducting a scientific experiment than for an informal poll.  One can’t make up stories like this one.  Satirists are simply out of luck when it comes to the American political scene.  Nothing that they could invent can possibly be more bizarre than the reality. 

At all events, his conditions have readily been met.  The anti-Trump Lincoln Project asked Twitter for 142 calls for Santos to resign, which was quickly surpassed.  In addition, a Change.org petition calling for Santos to step down has collected over 200 signatures.  We shall see if he is ready to fulfill his promise, but it seems doubtful that his word is to be relied upon on this as in any other instance. 

The Department of Health and Human Services has extended the COVID-19 state of emergency that was instituted in January 2020,   It is the 12th renewal of the emergency and is scheduled to last 90 days.  So officially, at least, the pandemic is not yet over and will not be over until April at the very earliest.

Today’s statistics as of 9:00 PM – # of cases worldwide:  669,332,725; # of deaths worldwide: 6,717,570; # of cases U.S.:   103,151,843; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,121,725.

January 6-10, 2023: Louisiana Trip

I have just returned from a visit to Louisiana, my first visit to that state.  I spent a couple of days in Baton Rouge with a friend and then two days in New Orleans.

Traveling there was remarkably easy.  I’m glad to report that Dulles has moved to the 21st century at long last.  I was able to take the Silver Line all the way to the airport, instead of having to stop at Reston and catch a shuttle bus, as was previously the case.  And the airport is finally phasing out the clumsy and uncomfortable shuttle coaches that passengers were forced to use upon deplaning from return flights:  the train within the airport now runs in both directions.  The airport at New Orleans was a very pleasant surprise as well.  I was expecting a dirty, chaotic, run-down facility like the airport at Miami.  Instead I found a remarkably clean and efficiently-run organization that would not be out of place in Germany.  The plane landing at the airport was nearly ½ hour early; but instead of the plane being forced to hover in the air until a gate was available (as has happened to me at Dallas and Atlanta), space was readily obtainable and we got off the plane without encountering anything to nullify the advantage of the early arrival time.

My friend RW met me at the airport and we went to his place in Baton Rouge.  First, however, we spent the better part of the afternoon at Oak Alley, the former home of a sugar plantation owner.  It derives its name from the impressive series of oaks lining the avenue that formed the house entrance (which were full-grown when they were transplanted to the area when the house was first built and which are now well over 200 years old).  The house itself is built on the usual plan of such mansions:  the front door opens onto a main corridor wide enough to function as a ballroom, with openings on either side to large rooms such as the main dining room, drawing room (we would call it a living room today), study, and so on.  Bedrooms were located on the second floor.  Most of the furnishings of the house were from the period in which it was built, but some few items actually belonged to the family that originally owned it.  Oak Alley passed through several hands after the original owners were no longer able to maintain it and eventually, though the energetic efforts of the last owners, it was preserved from being razed by means of a grant that made it possible to sustain itself by holding tours. 

Sugar, of course, was intimately intertwined with slavery; and the management of Oak Alley, far from concealing this aspect of the mansion, goes out of its way to highlight it – noting the hardships of the slaves’ lives and also the fact that slaves were used as collateral when the owner first took out a loan to build the house.  Interestingly, the owner’s brother, who was a member of the Louisiana legislature, did not wish Louisiana to enter the Confederacy.  His attitude was that the other state economies were primarily based on cotton, and that the only cause that Louisiana had with these states was its pro-slavery position.  He was overruled, of course, but it is striking that he felt that the cotton interests would prove as detrimental to the state as the abolition of slavery.  Louisiana, or at any rate its southern region, is certainly not suitable for such a crop.  The area is flat and much of it is swamp.  There are no hills to mitigate the effects of windstorms as they sweep through the area.  The rains from the Gulf can be unrelenting, lasting days at a time, to say nothing of the hurricanes that the inhabitants must endure every summer. 

On the following day RW took me on a brief tour of Baton Rouge itself.  Baton Rouge is a fairly pleasant city, although I would not make a special trip to see it.  The architecture is not particularly distinguished, apart from the Capitol, which is magnificent.  It was somewhat startling to see how Huey Long, who is generally cast in a villainous role by the history books on account of his opposition to Franklin Roosevelt, is here venerated as a hero.  Certainly he did many good things for the state, ensuring that schoolchildren had access to free textbooks, breaking up the dens of prostitution and gambling halls that infested New Orleans, and constructing roads, bridges, hospitals, schools, and state buildings on a scale unprecedented in the economically backward South at the time:  much of the infrastructure in Louisiana today is based on what Long established during his tenure.  In short, he is such a mass of contradictions, such a mixture of monumentally good and monumentally bad, so it is impossible for me to come to a firm conclusion about him without more intensive study. 

During the afternoon I went around the lakes in the vicinity of the campus of Louisiana State University.  The trails are lovely, sometimes skirting past palatial homes and offering views of a great variety of waterfowl, including gulls, egrets, herons, swans, ducks, and cormorants.

RW told me about his experiences during Hurricane Katrina.  Baton Rouge was not devastated in the manner that New Orleans was, being slightly above sea level and further inland as well.  But it went without power for weeks on end (the neighborhood in which RW lives was without power for two weeks, which was far less than the outages many other parts of the city endured) and the overflow of people fleeing from New Orleans swelled the populations there from approximately 500,000 to more than five times that number.  He himself at one point had no fewer than seventeen guests in his house for over a week.  Foraging for food during that period was a major undertaking.  To this day he avoids the various museums in both cities whose exhibits center about this event, having no desire to be reminded of what he underwent during that time.

On the following day RW dropped me off at New Orleans.  The earlier part of the day was rainy, and I spent much of it at Mardi Gras World, a fascinating exhibit of the history of how Mardi Gras evolved into its current manifestations in New Orleans and of the process used for manufacturing the floats used by the “krewes” in the Mardi Gras parades.  The weather cleared afterwards and I spent the later part of the afternoon and some hours in the following day to explore the French Quarter.  The French Quarter is not large and one can easily cover all of its blocks in the course of a few hours.  It is noted for its distinctive architecture, with verandas on the second and third stories supported by narrow pillars on the ground and ornamented by elaborate wrought-iron railing. 

My appraisal of New Orleans is somewhat ambivalent.  The architecture is certainly worth seeing, even though it is less varied than that of Old Town Alexandria or Annapolis, and many of the less-frequented streets are beautiful.  The much-famed Bourbon Street, however, is an unmitigated nuisance.  Imagine a dozen ghetto-blasters all blaring at once and striving to out-rival each other in volume, and you can get some idea of the hideous cacophony that ensues.  Bach and Mozart themselves would be intolerable at so high a decibel level, and the strains that the musicians were playing were anything but Mozartean.  Why are Americans so intent on destroying their sense of hearing?  And they are doing so in full knowledge that they are condemning themselves ultimately to deafness, for there have been warnings without number from various physicians about the deleterious effects of subjecting oneself to an unceasing stream of clamor,

The cuisine of New Orleans has likewise been over-praised.  The seafood is fresh and varied, and shrimp dishes in particular benefit by the fact that the main ingredient does not have to be frozen before the chef has access to it.  But I regret to say that the beneficial effects of French influence on the cuisine are minimal.  The quality of the coffee is no different from that of other regions in the U.S., and is often worse.  The breads are displeasingly soft, cottony in texture, and all but flavorless, like much of the bread in this country.  Any native Frenchman would turn up his nose in scorn at the croissants and rolls sold in New Orleans.  The delicate touch that French chefs use in preparing vegetables has fallen by the wayside in this former French territory:  vegetables tend to be over-cooked here as they are in most of the other parts of the South.

The part of my tour of the area that I enjoyed the most was the ride on the St. Charles Avenue streetcar, which goes through the greater part of the city, including the campuses of Tulane and Loyola.  There are many imposing mansions, churches and synagogues of historical interest, extensive parks, and lively bustling neighborhoods along the way.  The usual practice is to ride the full length of the streetcar Journey from Canal St. and then ride back again in the opposite direction, but I walked back on my return in order to explore at my leisure some of the areas I had passed earlier.  (The distance of the streetcar route is about 6½ miles, so the return on foot is not arduous.)  I also went through the Marigny district, which borders the French Quarter and is notable for the gaily painted exteriors of many of the residents, rather like those of Cape May.  Finally, the Riverwalk along the Mississippi provides impressive views of the width of the river, with numerous barges and ships and boats passing along its surface.

I do not care for the New Orleans drivers, although I realize that the greater part of them are not native to the city.  Suffice it to say that their habit of treating STOP signs and crosswalks as if they were Mardi Gras decorations greatly impair the pleasures of walking through the French Quarter.  The drivers are not as bad as those of Philadelphia or Boston, but the drivers of both New York and Washington are much more courteous towards pedestrians in comparison.

Much has occurred on the political scene during the past few days, but I will reserve reflections on these for later entries, after I have the chance to download my photos.

Today’s statistics as of 9:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 669,332,725; # of deaths worldwide: 6,717,570; # of cases U.S.:103,151,843; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,121,725.

January 27-28, 2023

The Glenstone Museum – Fears for declining years – Gambrill State Park – Is the clerkless society imminent? – Evening statistics

I went with EG and HG to Glenstone Museum in Potomac, which is unlike any other museum I have seen.  The museum consists of a 230-acre campus with a trail winding through it to various buildings devoted to displaying the works of art, all of which is contemporary.  It is a requirement that in order to exhibit in Glenstone, artists must first have exhibited at least 15 years in other museums.  Several of the large-scale sculptures are placed out of doors and the landscaping is every bit as elaborate as that of an English country estate in the age of Humphrey Repton.  A boardwalk goes over a meandering stream, crossing it several times, and the buildings themselves are works of art.  They include, for example, three stone-walled houses, with the stones intricately fitted to each other, and the Pavilions, a building of precast concrete sections that were poured at different seasons to produce color variation and which, although it is in fact a single building, has the appearance of several different buildings as one approaches it.  The Pavilions offers numerous vistas both of the interior courtyard, with its water garden, and of the outdoor riparian scenery, which is breath-taking even in winter.  The galleries are lavish with the amount of space they allot to each exhibited piece; several contain only two or three in a room.   It is the largest private contemporary art museum in the country.  We saw the museum to advantage yesterday, inasmuch as it was a bright sunlit day, so that the riotous profusion of pale straw-colored grasses had a slightly golden tinge when viewed from the panoramic window view in one of the gallery rooms.

And what of the works of art themselves?

“These consist largely of tantalizing abstractions:  an egg balanced on cone, an erg balanced on a bone, a hag balanced on a roan.” 

Such is S. J. Perelman’s facetious description of the wall decorations of a fashionable Manhattan jewelry store and, by extension, of the modern art scene in New York generally.  Some of the artworks in Glenstone are a bit like that:  obvious attempts to impress the viewer with the artist’s originality, but holding little intrinsic interest otherwise.  But others are much more impressive, including, housed in a separate gallery building , those by R. H. Quaytman, an artist of extraordinary range and power.  She is listed as an “abstract artist,” but that is really too reductive a label for her.  Her works are an intricate blend of realist and expressionistic techniques, and the results are riveting.  We were particularly delighted by a series of 22 panels ranged along the wall depicting the meeting of field and sky at the horizon (“Morning, Chapter 30”), with the tints of the sky varying from one panel to the next and ranging from pale bluish gray to deep indigo.  The room contained other works that were so completely unlike in style from the panel series and from each other that at first it was difficult for me to believe that they all came from the hand of the same artist. 

Afterwards we returned to EG’s and HG’s house, and had tea together.  Our conversation, though animated as usual, took a somewhat melancholy turn, touching upon how the efforts of modern medicine to prolong life has been something of a mixed blessing, resulting in numbers of people whose last years consist solely of pain or oblivion and who would ask for nothing better than to able to put a swift end to them.  EG and HG mentioned a neighbor who is 92, whose infirmities are increasing on an almost daily basis, and who awakes in the mornings with an emotion akin to despair in the knowledge that she must somehow or other endure another day; while I, of course, spoke and thought of my unfortunate mother, who has been in a semi-comatose state for years on end and who is now unable to recognize anyone or indeed to respond to external stimuli of any kind.  EG, HG, and myself are all active and alert; we enjoy our respective periods of retirement greatly; and yet we are each of us old enough to feel the presence of that specter of ill health, both physical and mental, hovering in the background, ready to pounce upon us at any given moment, and it is not surprising that we occasionally wonder what form it will take.  For my own part, I certainly do not desire to outlive my mental faculties. 

Today I went with LM and others in Gambrill State Park, where I had not been for several months.  We had another fine day, going first along the Red Maple Trail and the Catoctin Trail, then going along the greater part of the Yellow Poplar Trail and stopping at the North Frederick Overlook.  This overlook is one of the best to see the city of Frederick from above, as well as the isolated peak of Sugarloaf Mountain to its south.  A rather amusing incident occurred during the meandering path of the Upper Yellow Poplar Loop.  While waiting at a junction I encountered another hiker who went on; then, after I regrouped with the others and went forward again, I met this same hiker coming in the opposite direction and looking anxious.  “Am I going in the right direction?” he asked me, as we approached each other.  “I overtook this group of hikers some minutes ago and now it looks like they’re coming towards me.”  I assured him that he had not gotten turned around; the illusion was created by the fact that the trail bends frequently and uses many switchbacks, so that it could easily appear to someone a hundred feet or so above one such turn that he had reversed his direction.   

A rather amusing article in my AARP magazine was devoted to the plight of the “overworked consumer.”  Businesses are using clerks and cashiers to a lesser degree than they have done in the past, for obvious economic reasons.  Not only do they have to pay fewer people for checking customers out, but transactions tend to be swifter.  A customer has little temptation to linger over the counter if there is no one to talk to.  On the other hand, customers (and older customers in particular) are less familiar than clerks to be familiar with bar code locations and the machines themselves can be slower than a register operated by an efficient clerk.  I actually prefer the self-checkout option myself; I like to be able to arrange the packaging of my shopping bags, which I can safely say I do somewhat more efficiently than the majority of clerks.  I well remember one shopping experience, when I purchased six items that clerk proceeded to store in four plastic bags.  It is a little less of a problem now, ever since Virginia started charging for plastic bags; before that occurred I would have to thrust my reusable shopping bags practically under the clerk’s nose in order not to be overwhelmed with plastic bags that I didn’t need and didn’t want.  I suspect that while personal service in grocery stores and fast-food restaurants will not die out entirely, it will become much less frequent.  No doubt younger generations will look back with wonder upon footage showing stores in which customers hand over cash or credit cards to an actual, breathing person.

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 674,692,946; # of deaths worldwide:  6,758,403; # of cases U.S.: 104,111,747; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,132,254..

January 24-26, 2023

Hiking around Harpers Ferry – McCarthy’s The Groves of Academe – Lockdown in Pyongyang – Evening statistics

On Tuesday I went with the Vigorous Hikers to do a circuit of over 15 miles along the battle area surrounding Harpers Ferry, beginning with Bolivar Heights, then going through the town, over the Potomac, ascending Maryland Heights via a back way, and having lunch at Stone Fort.  From there we descended back to town and took the trail along the Shenandoah that eventually leads to the Visitor Center and returned to the parking area by going over Bolivar Heights again.  It is a splendid hike, especially as Tuesday proved to be the first fine day we’ve had for nearly a week, and it gives a vivid impression of the various forces during the Civil War that besieged the unfortunate city of Harpers Ferry, which to this day has never recovered its former importance since that conflict.  Before the war it was a commercial city of considerable importance, but it was invaded multiple times, passing sometimes into the hands of the Union army and sometimes into the hands of the Confederate army, eventually destroying most of its resources; so that it is now a tiny town with a population of well under 500, and whose economy rests principally upon tourism.

It rained incessantly on the following day and I scarcely ventured out at all, passing the time by perusing a book that I had long intended to read, Mary McCarthy’s The Groves of Academe.  I had begun this effort with considerable good will, for I had heard much about its premise, which is a promising one.  An untenured English professor named Henry Mulcahy has received a letter of dismissal from the college President, Maynard Hoar.  Mulcahy is a good scholar but has notable defects as an instructor (failing to turn in attendance records, occasionally missing out on appointments with his tutorial students, etc.), so that his dismissal does not seem misplaced.  However, he hits upon the scheme of accusing himself, quite falsely, of having been a member of the Communist party, which thereby enables his sympathizers to claim that he is being discharged on account of political discrimination as they lobby for his reinstatement.  It is an intriguing theme, with numerous opportunities to satirize the pretentiousness, political correctness, and staff infighting that are prominent features of American college campuses to this day, and I was looking forward to reading the novel with great enjoyment.

Alas!  Mary McMarthy is not much of a novelist.  The greater part of the events that unfold during the narration are told as back story, at tedious length.  This tendency towards flat abstraction is carried to a startling extreme in the last chapter, in which Mulcahy and Hoar have a final confrontation.  It is a moment that could have held considerable dramatic impact, but the emotional intensity is drained out of it by McCarthy’s perverse decision to relate it at second hand, not showing the confrontation itself but having Hoar summarize it afterwards to a member of his staff. 

In addition, McCarthy does not handle dialogue well.  Every single remark that each of the characters makes is swathed in several complex sentences of exposition, making it impossible to get any sensation of the give-and-take of an ordinary conversation or any vivid impression of the persons carrying on their interchanges with one another. 

It is regrettable.  The novel should have been a good one.  It does, in fact, have the makings of being the basis of an entertaining movie, once a skillful screenwriter condenses some of the wordier speeches and omits the extraneous parts of the narrative.  The concept of many of the episodes is quite inventive.  One chapter, for instance, focuses on a conference on modern poetry sponsored by the college, to which several poets across the country are invited.  In the hands of an exuberant satirist it could have been riotously funny.  (It is a little surprising, in fact, that conferences of this nature have not been satirized more often.)  But it is not, despite some sharp observations about the eccentricities of the conference guests and the strain it puts on the members of the faculty who have the misfortune to host them.  The visiting poets and the faculty members alike are shadows, wraiths.  And, remarkably for a novel whose setting is a college campus, students make hardly any appearance at all.  Science departments, social science departments, student athletic competitions, and dormitories are likewise omitted.  All in all, it makes for fairly dull reading:  the ingredients are all excellent, but the dish is not worth eating. 

North Korea has ordered a five-day lockdown of Pyongyang for an unspecified “respiratory Illness.”   We have no clue as to what this illness might be.  None at all.  Of course not.

It can’t possibly be COVID, since, as we all know, no new cases were reported after July 29, 2022 and the North Korean government declared victory over the ailment this past August.  Kim Jong-Un has said so himself, and who would venture to contradict him?  Nobody in North Korea, certainly.  And,  it appears, the WHO is equally spineless, and with far less excuse, considering it is not in Kim Jong-Un’s power to execute any of its members; the organization will not even speculate on the extent to which the disease has progressed there.

At one point Pyongyang did report 4.77 million cases of fever, out of a population of 25 million, nearly 20% in all.  About the death toll it maintained a discreet silence.  It clearly is impossible to obtain reliable statistics from that country.  The likelihood is that COVID is running rampant throughout the populace, particularly since the North Koreans have a high rate of malnutrition and virtually no medical system to speak of.  Officially, Peru has the highest COVID death rate, which has claimed nearly 6½% of its population.  It seems likely that North Korea’s figures are similarly high.  But whether the disease has killed 1% of the North Koreans or 2% or 5% or 10% – no one knows.

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 674,207,917; # of deaths worldwide:  6,753,733; # of cases U.S.: 104,047,866; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,131,369.

January 22-23, 2023

Sherman Gap/Shawl Gap hike – Exploring paths near Difficult Run – The lengthy process of trail creation – More convictions of various 1/6/2021 rioters – Seeming immunity of Donald Trump – COVID following the path of influenza – Transgender pronouns – Evening statistics

Yesterday I led the Wanderbirds up Sherman Gap, along the ridgeline of Massanutten, and go down Shawl Gap.  It was the first truly strenuous hike I’ve done since the beginning of the year, and my lack of practice told:  going up Sherman Gap felt more difficult than I had remembered.  Still, I made up there in reasonable time.  I had been anticipating the hike to be something of a washout, for the day was greatly overcast and rain was in the forecast.  Happily, outside of brief showers, the rain held off until the mid-afternoon, after we had completed the hike and our customarily partying at the end of it, and the other hikers said that they enjoyed themselves.  This hike was a carpool hike – that is, we drove to the trailhead instead of using a bus; the club will not be chartering a bus for the entire quarter, due to the low turnout on our bus trips since we resumed them in July.

Today’s hike was rather different:  I went with WN to escort various representatives from the Park Service and the surveying company employed by them along the route on the east side of Difficult Run, which goes along the direction of the original Georgetown Pike Road and which, as it turns out, I had never before visited myself.  I was aware, in a vague sort of way, that walking in that area was possible, since when going on the Difficult Run Trail in Great Falls National Park I would frequently see various people wandering about on the other bank of the stream.  The path there is an unofficial trail, but it is obvious that some sort of trail maintenance has been done.  It was easy to follow and there was little undergrowth.  We examined potential sites for establishing a footbridge (even if only a temporary one) over Difficult Run to link this footpath with the network of trails in Great Falls and traced the route up to the point where Townston Road forms a T-intersection with Georgetown Pike.  If such a link could be established, it would substantially reduce the gap on the Potomac Heritage Trail between Difficult Run and Scott’s Run.  From Towlston, moreover, it may be possible to bypass Madeira, where obtaining an easement is less likely than in other areas. 

One of the Park Service representatives cautioned us against expecting swift results, however willing the county, state, and federal agencies might be.  Even if converting this unofficial trail into one that it is a recognized park trail were to be approved tomorrow, it might be as long as ten years before it actually came to pass.  Studies would have to be done about environmental impact (on trees, Difficult Run and the little streams in its watershed, property boundaries, among other factors), cost estimates would have to be made, the appropriate funds would have to be allocated, and so on.  All of which made me appreciate how the trails which we take for granted – including, of course, the Appalachian Trail itself – were conceived and brought into existence by people who sometimes never lived long enough to tread upon them themselves and whose efforts were devoted solely for the recreation of future generations.

Joseph Hackett of Sarasota, Florida; Roberto Minuta of Prosper, Texas; David Moerschel of Punta Gorda, Florida; and Edward Vallejo of Phoenix, Arizona, members of the Oath Keepers, were all convicted today of seditious conspiracy in the role they played during the riot of January 6, 2021.  They have not yet been sentenced, but some amount of jail time is all but certain; the charge has a maximum penalty of twenty years.  In addition, Richard “Bigo” Barnett, the man who obtained his 15 minutes of fame by proudly displaying his feet propped up on Nancy Pelosi’s desk during that same event, has been convicted of on all eight counts in his indictment, including felony charges of civil disorder and obstruction of an official proceeding.  He will be sentenced some time in May.

At an earlier juncture news such as this would have delighted me, but by now it is merely a source of irritation. Yes, these people participated in the attempt to overturn the results of a national election and have been duly convicted of it.  Well and good; but why are no charges being brought against the chief perpetrator, i.e., Donald Trump?  More than two years have elapsed since this treasonous assault he has orchestrated; not one, but two special investigating committees have certified that he is guilty; and yet no charges have been brought against him and, it appears, never will be.  More than this, he has announced some time ago his intentions of running for President in the 2024 election and I should not be in the least surprised, even while being somewhat dismayed, if the Republican Party flocked to his leadership as eagerly as the Jews of the 17th century flocked to that of the false Messiah Sabbatai Zvi.

I have been predicting that COVID will eventually subside into a status not dissimilar to that of influenza, and that prediction now is on the verge of becoming true.  The FDA has recommended that people receive an annual vaccine against the disease, just as we do now with flu; and we seem to be on the road to accepting COVID as a fact of life that has to be provided against and mitigated by periodic vaccines, just as this nation did with flu after the great epidemic of 1918.

In North Dakota one bill was proposed and rejected on Friday, which mandated people affiliated with schools or institutions receiving public funding having to pay a $1,500 fine for using gender pronouns other than those assigned at birth for themselves or others.  Many in the state’s senate judiciary committee that voted down the bill noted that they agreed with the bill’s intention to limit transgender rights, but they felt that the bill was poorly written and difficult to enforce.  My own feeling is that, while I have no wish to limit the rights of people of ambiguous sexuality, I object to such pronouns as a grammarian.  Gender is an essential part of most Indo-European languages; this attempt to disguise the fact that people have a gender assigned to them at birth can only lead to mass confusion and obfuscation, all of the sake of suiting the tender sensibilities of a very small portion of the population at large, and at the expense of everyone else. 

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 673,478,488; # of deaths worldwide:  6,747,959; # of cases U.S.: 103,888,296; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,129,145.

January 15, 2023

A DC hike – Race relations then and now – Declining rates of COVID – Evening statistics

The return of the sun has brought about a lightening of mood – that, as well as an 18-mile hike with RS, starting from the Martin Luther King monument and skirting about the Kennedy Center, Glover-Archibold Park, the Cathedral, the Normanstone Trail, Dumbarton Oaks Park, Dupont Circle, the Kennedy Center again, and Roosevelt Island.  Every time I go on ventures of this sort into DC, I discover something new.  In this case I saw the Gandhi sculpture for the first time (although I have heard of it before) and the Dewi Saraswati statue, a relatively recent addition (it came to DC in 2013) in front of the Indonesian embassy.  I was puzzled by its location, since Indonesia is predominantly a Muslim country, but it turns out that the statue came from Bali, the archpelago’s largest island with a Hindu majority.   It was breezy but not blustery like yesterday and the skies were bright blue in contrast to the dull grey of the day before.

There will be more to come tomorrow, when RS and I will lead several others in a circuit from the MLK memorial in our annual commemoration of Martin Luther King.  It was very pleasant to see African-Americans, Asian-Americans, whites, Hispanics, and so on, mingling together on the streets, in restaurants, in stores, on the Metro, and so on, in a manner that would have been much less common even as little as half a century earlier.  However, there is a way to go.  When I was in Iceland this past summer, I overheard one American tourist remark that for the first time in his life he was unaware of being black. It will take a long time yet for us to reach that stage.

There are, perhaps, less personal reasons for rejoicing as well.  COVID is easing worldwide with a weekly 23% decrease in cases and 13% drop in deaths.  There is one exception: mainland China, where the virus emerged three years ago and where reliable data are simply impossible to obtain.  Wonderful to relate, the WHO itself has actually requested China to supply them with information that is verifiable; and such a request and its implied criticism, though timid and tentative and far less censorious than the Chinese medical officials deserve, is yet better than nothing.

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 671,340,707; # of deaths worldwide:  6,730,405; # of cases U.S.: 103,577,391; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,125,541.  The numbers are not misprints, as one might think in comparing them with yesterday’s statistics:  there were indeed only 2 COVID deaths in the U.S. today.

January 3-4, 2023

On the Bull Run/Occoquan Trail – College admissions scandal – The mouse that roared:  the WHO criticizes China (for once) – Abortion pills become easier to obtain – Kevin McCarthy still failing to become Speaker – Evening statistics

The mild weather continues.  Yesterday I went with the Vigorous Hikers on the Bull Run/Occoquan Trail, a there-and-back between the Kincheloe Soccer Field and the southern terminus at Fountainhead.  At times rain fell, but so lightly that one scarcely noticed it.  We had lunch at the lake towards the end of the entrance road at Fountainhead.  The dam, which is about ½ mile from the boating area, had been opened recently in a manner that led to flooding, but there were little signs of damage where we had lunch.  At the end of the hike I encountered GP and BH.  They had come down with COVID a few weeks ago – which of course in GP’s case is no trifling matter, since he is now well into his 90s – but they both have since recovered and have immediately taken back to the trails again. 

William Singer, a self-labeled “college admissions consultant,” has been convicted of bribing coaches and rigging examination results to obtain admission for the children of his well-placed clients, who include various financiers in Los Angeles, Silicon Valley, and New York City.  Using staged photographs and resumes filled with nonexistent accolades, a girl who’d never played soccer competitively found herself at UCLA on its nationally ranked soccer team; the daughter of actress Lori Loughlin was admitted to USC as a recruited coxswain on the basis of a posed photograph on a rowing machine; and the son of a Los Angeles businessman won a spot at USC after his father photographed him posing in water polo gear in the family pool, then paid a graphic designer to impose the boy’s image in a shot of an actual match.  Singer has been sentenced to pay a fine of $10 million to the Federal government and to serve 3½ years in prison.  In addition, prosecuting attorneys are leveling charges against 53 of his clients for obtaining admission for elite colleges for their sons and daughters to the detriment of thousands of other more qualified applicants.

That is all very well as far as it goes, but it does not address the root of the problem:  namely, the colleges themselves.  Singer himself outlined the issue when he described how he came to develop his scams in the first place.  Students, as he said, could enter various elite universities via the “front door”:  studying hard and pursuing an interest in sports, the arts, or other extra-curricular activities.  But of course there are many applicants for every entrance opening, and there are no guarantees that any student, however qualified, can obtain admission to the college of his or her choice.  And here matters become more murky.  Wealthy and influential families have created a “back door” for their children:  i.e., a massive donation to a university endowment.  Even that measure, however, does not absolutely guarantee admission for their progeny who happen to be unentitled to such placement.  So Singer created what he called a “side door” by cultivating relationships with coaches and other athletic officials willing to sell him admission spots earmarked for recruited athletes into colleges such as Yale, Stanford, Georgetown, USC, and UCLA, among others  ease with which colleges allow themselves to be bribed, and the ever-increasing corruption associated with college student athletic programs, will cause scandals such as these to become commonplace.  We urgently need reform in our collegiate system.

The WHO has done something truly astounding today:  it has actually criticized China.  We have seen in the past that the WHO has been shamefully subservient to that country, minimizing its responsibility for the emergence of COVID in the first place and even bolstering its fallacious claim to Taiwan by suppressing any references to the latter as an independent nation.  But today the WHO has stated that the Chinese medical authorities are lying about the extent of the infections and deaths from COVID – the WHO has actually said “under-representing” instead of “lying,” but everyone knows what they mean – and has gone so far as to endorse, although in very muted terms, the precautions other countries are taking concerning travelers from China entering their borders.  No doubt even these timid censures will draw upon them the wrath of the Xi Jinping administration, so that the WHO’s venturing even this far borders on the miraculous. 

Right-to-lifers are now going to have to adjust to a new regulation enforced by the FDA that enables access to abortion pills to pharmacies and from them to their patrons.  Women can now get a prescription for the pills via a telehealth consultation with a health professional, and then receive the pills through the mail, at any rate in states where this is permitted by law.  This development will make the enforcement of anti-abortion laws much more difficult, even in the most Draconian of states.  Thus if a woman in Texas desires to obtain an abortion, there is nothing to prevent her from obtaining an online consultation and then contacting relatives in, for example, California to pick up the prescription at a pharmacy in their area and then sending it to her.  Obviously that does not resolve the issue entirely – doubtless there remain many women who may not have the necessary contacts to bring about such an outcome – but it does mean that our home-grown ayatollahs must be pulling their hair out in despair at this reduction over their control of women’s wombs.

Kevin McCarthy on Wednesday failed to secure the Speakership on the House’s sixth vote, the third vote of the day.  It is the first time in over a century that the House has required more than one vote to select a Speaker.  McCarthy needs 218 votes, but there are 20 representatives within the Republican party who have declined to vote in his favor, first voting for Jim Jordan and then, when it became apparent that Jordan was a non-starter, voting for Byron Donalds.  Trump has endorsed McCarthy as Speaker, which leads one to hope that he may not obtain the position after all.  As many are discovering, Trump’s endorsements are now beginning to become liabilities rather than assets.

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 666,386,672; # of deaths worldwide: 6,703,047; # of cases U.S.:  102,852,514; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,119,624.

January 5, 2023

The fantasies of George Santos – Kevin McCarthy no closer to his goal than before – Evening statistics

Our legislative branch of the government has not always distinguished itself for its usefulness, but lately it is providing an unceasing source of entertainment.

The protagonist of Lettice and Lovage, a play by Peter Shaffer, is a guide who is bored to distraction by the tedious monologue about the old house to which she is assigned that she is forced to recite to yawning, inattentive tourists.  One day, however, she decides to jettison the historic facts altogether, re-invent the past, and supply inquiring visitors with increasingly bizarre and salacious stories about “Fustian House,” which naturally causes them to flock in droves to her tours and listen to her improvisations with mingled fascination and delight.

George Santos, the recently-elected House member from New York, has done precisely the same thing.  Among his claims are: 1) that his maternal grandparents were Ukrainian Jews who fled to Belgium and then to Brazil to escape the Holocaust during World War II (he is Catholic and his family had lived in Brazil for three generations before his parents settled in the U.S.); 2) that his mother was “the first female executive at a major financial institution” and that she worked in the South Tower of the World Trade Center, dying a few years after the September 11 attacks (she was a domestic worker who spoke no English and earned a living by selling food and cleaning houses); 3) that he was born and raised in abject poverty (which is in direct conflict with Claim #2, but – oh, never mind); 4) that he attended the prestigious Horace Mann preparatory school before withdrawing on account of financial hardship, held a bachelor’s degree in finance and economics from Baruch College, and obtained an MBA from New York University (none of the schools has any record of his attendance, and the period that he said he was at Baruch overlaps with the time he is known to have lived in Brazil); 5) that he worked as a journalist at a major news organization but that his name was omitted from the organization’s website (I wonder why); 6) that he and his family owned 13 rental properties in New York (if so, he didn’t list them on his campaign’s financial disclosure forms and there is nothing in the public records to support this assertion – and, also, what the hell happened to that “abject poverty” claim he made earlier?); 7) that he worked for the eminent firms of Citigroup and Goldman Sachs (neither company has any record of him); 8) that while employed at Goldman he attended the SALT private equity conference seven years earlier where, on a panel, he criticized his employer for investing in renewable energy, calling it a taxpayer-subsidized scam (Anthony Scaramucci, who runs the conference, said there is no record of Santos having sat on a single panel or even having attended any SALT conference); 9) that  . . . but why continue?  Suffice it to say that he answers to the description that Mary McCarthy once gave of Lillian Hellman:  every word he says Is a lie, including ‘and’ and ‘the’. He has the distinction of being one of the two gay Representatives for New York, but he may even be lying about his sexual orientation as well.  When running for office he described himself as “openly gay” and hinted that he had been discriminated against on that account.  However, he was once married to a woman named Uadla Santos Vieira in 2012, even though the pair divorced seven years later.  He never mentioned this marriage during his campaign or indeed at any other time; and it did not become publicly known until the Daily Beast disclosed it.  Santos thus presents the unique case of a self-declared homosexual being “outed” as someone who is actually straight, or at the very least bi-sexual.  In 2014 he lived with one Pedro Vilarva, but this relationship also foundered, with Vilarva moving out a few months afterwards, allegedly being fed up with Santos’s constant stream of prevarications.  But just as in the case of Shaffer’s Lettice, Santos’s lies have proved to be more exciting than the actual biographical facts, and New Yorkers have swallowed them as eagerly as the fictional tourists of Fustian House.  I wish them joy of their new Representative.

“About to go to the House floor,” California Representative-elect Ted Lieu tweeted earlier this week, alongside a photo of him holding a bag of popcorn.  The show that he is referring to, of course, is that of the debacle of Kevin McCarthy’s attempt to become House Speaker, which has now failed for the tenth consecutive time.  This increasingly embarrassing spectacle has become the longest speaker contest in 164 years.  The Democrats, needless to say, are watching on with glee.  The party’s leadership has requested them to remain in Washington until someone is elected, for if any of them depart the number of votes that McCarthy is required to obtain for the position will be lowered, and they do not want to do anything that will pave the way to his goal.  “At the end of the day, this is a Republican mess,” said Ro Khanna, another Representative-elect. “This is a failure of them to govern. This is their problem to fix.”

The mild weather lasted through the end of today, but colder and more seasonal temperatures are coming.  I shall miss out on them on a while, however, for I will be spending a few days in New Orleans, where temperatures will be in the 60s – that is to say, comparable to temperatures of April and May here.

Today’s statistics as of 9:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 667,039,556; # of deaths worldwide: 6,705,928; # of cases U.S.:  103,043,225; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,120,801.

January 1-2, 2023

An unexpectedly quiet New Years Eve – Hikes during the first days of the year – Mental benefits of hiking – Another instance of trop de zèle – Evening statistics

COVID is undeniably still with us.  On New Years Eve I dined with KT at a restaurant in Cleveland Park.  I was expecting a good deal of traffic along the streets and a noisy crowd indoors.  Instead, hardly any cars passed by during the 1-mile walk from the station to the restaurant, and the restaurant itself, though not empty by any means, was not filled to capacity and we were able to eat in quiet.  Few of the houses showed signs of party-going and the Metro had few passengers, even though fares were waived for all Metro travel after 8:00.  It was quite startling to see the city so subdued on what is ordinarily a holiday of elaborate celebration.

Yesterday a group of us hiked together in Riverbend.  Here there was no shortage of people.  The weather was unusually warm for the time of year, and bright and clear in addition; so many were taking advantage of the day to enjoy the views of the Potomac along the Potomac Heritage Trail.  Afterwards we converged at the house of DC and JM; and here, at least, celebratory food and wine flowed in abundance.

And today I went with the Wanderbirds to Difficult Run, where we did a loop through the Great Falls and Riverbend parks.  The falls were a splendid sight, the waters having swelled after the amount of rain received over the past several days. 

It appears that, independently of the physical benefits one obtains from hiking on trails such as these, there are mental benefits as well.  According to some studies, the Japanese practice of Shinrin-yoku, or “forest bathing,” improves one’s outlook on life, enhances attention span and memory retention, and reduces stress levels.  The root cause may, after all, be a straightforward one:  quite simply, exercising out of doors is much more enjoyable than exercising in a gym.

Bernie Sanders, who has pushed the Democratic Party to expand access for health care, claimed in a CNN interview that 85 million Americans are without any kind of health insurance.  His zeal for promoting a higher standard of medical care is understandable, but inflated claims such as these are more likely to undermine his cause rather than promote it.  In actual fact, the number is closer to 27.4 million – not an insignificant amount, certainly, but about 8.7% of the population as opposed to well over 25%.  Then again, when has any American politician been required to adhere to the facts?

Today’s statistics as of 8:00 PM – # of cases worldwide: 665,546,183; # of deaths worldwide: 6,699,015; # of cases U.S.:  102,686,752; # of deaths; U.S.: 1,118,478.